Category: Bonds

iShares 20+ Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) 2017-10-01

As you would expect, the analysis here is very similar to that done on bond futures earlier. This looks like a wave (ii) bounce though it is too early to rule out another test of overhead resistance.

US 30 Year Bond futures 2017-09-30

The major theme in bonds for the last six months has been that we are in a wave (ii) bounce after the first major impulse down from the 2016 high. A break of the low of last month should be the first major confirmation that bonds are ready to turn down.

US Treasury 30 year yield (TYX) 2017-07-01

Over the last two weeks the yield made a brief poke under the .382 retrace of the advance from a year ago and recovered it this week. I continue to think yields rise though it does have to break over some resistance just a little higher for confirmation.

Trading the next move in treasuries

The choppy rise from the turn of the year appears to have been corrective, in this case meaning that it should be treated as a retracement.

US 30 Year Bond futures 2017-05-28

In the bigger picture, we have been expecting a net bounce in bonds since the end of last year into late spring or early summer to which the market has obliged with a choppy bounce thus far. Now we are at a point where either bonds come back under pressure or extend their bounce into […]

US 30yr bond futures daily 2017-04-17

I have the same reservations in here in bonds that I have in gold. While a little higher would be ideal, it is smart to begin taking action if one has been nursing long positions to lock in profits.

US 30 Year Bond futures 2017-02-26

I had thought bonds might be an easy set of charts to start some weekend posting with but as I looked over the charts and sat back in my chair for some time, I have decided that it will be best to fall back to a previous way of analyzing the drop in bonds from […]