iShares 20+ Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)

TLT has been trading in a tight range for the last several months, making short stabs at breaking lower but finding support at tests of prior swing lows. I lean to support failing over the next several months and pushing for a rough support area of 112.00 to 110.

US 30 Year Treasury Yield Update

It is normal that the recent rise is slowing as previous highs are tested but do think we should at least see the channel tested on the monthly chart, around 3.27%, or the first fib extension up at 3.35% is tested before much of a retrace.

US 30 Year Bond futures 2017-09-30

The major theme in bonds for the last six months has been that we are in a wave (ii) bounce after the first major impulse down from the 2016 high. A break of the low of last month should be the first major confirmation that bonds are ready to turn down.