by Admin | Jan 21, 2017 | Interest rates, Premium
The bond decline is certainly stretched and the short trade is no doubt crowded, none the less, expecting a new bond low before a choppy sideways to slightly up formation for a few months. Starting with a monthly line chart as a sort of noise filter. We can see the...
by Admin | Jan 10, 2017 | Interest rates, Public
The big-picture pattern in treasury bonds has been working well for several years and has allowed us to predict some major inflections. There are however signs that treasuries and the iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:TLT) may be ready to move into an entirely new phase. Here we take a quick review of our performance with TLT in 2016 before considering where treasuries should go next.
by Admin | Jan 4, 2017 | Interest rates, Premium
Bonds have followed the script for lower but we need to start worrying about a bounce. Prefer to see yet another lower before a bigger bounce as it would look better to my eye with more than just a poke under the monthly and weekly trend lines. Here are the monthly...
