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The US equity markets are doing what has been the norm of late, rising into the FOMC meeting. I continue to think this is a wave (iii) forming near the top of a large channel as can be seen in the chart below. Crude is on track to make a run at 60. DX and Euro are taking small steps in their rise and fall in line with forecast. Gold is getting a head start on the expected break lower. Bonds have been stubborn but also trying to leak lower in line with the forecast.
I have included charts of this ETF, GDX, in the last couple of gold posts and thought I should make a separate post on it for completeness sake. The main hypothesis shown on the following monthly and weekly charts is pretty similar to that of gold except that I am assuming an ending diagonal here as opposed to a simple impulse lower essentially allowing for a couple retests of the of the early 2016 low before a climb out of the hole.
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