Scouting for the next moves in treasury bonds and gold
February 2017 bulletin from Trading On The Mark
US 30 year bond futures 2017-01-21
The bond decline is certainly stretched and the short trade is no doubt crowded, none the less, expecting a new bond low before a choppy sideways to slightly up formation for a few months. Starting with a monthly line chart as a sort of noise filter. We can see the...Review and forecast for treasury bonds and TLT
The big-picture pattern in treasury bonds has been working well for several years and has allowed us to predict some major inflections. There are however signs that treasuries and the iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:TLT) may be ready to move into an entirely new phase. Here we take a quick review of our performance with TLT in 2016 before considering where treasuries should go next.