Category: Energy

Natural gas set to bounce

We are watching natural gas prices very closely right now. The technical picture makes a strong case to expect a reversal and rally soon.

Natural Gas via (UNG) 2017-07-10

The dominant weekly cycle in UNG is bottoming out now and starts to turn up into early 2018 making it interesting to see if a higher low or test of the previous 2016 low takes place over then next couple weeks.

Crude Oil futures 2017-07-03

I had been expecting a new low from the bounce high in crude from late last year to develop this year. I had been treating that high as a wave four in an ending diagonal which calls for two motive waves lower with a connector in the middle. While the current low is short of […]

Natural Gas via (UNG) 2017-06-18

In general, have been thinking that natural gas has been feeling its way to a higher low to that of 2016 and still think that is the case.

Crude Oil 2017-05-29

Crude has been stuck in a range for just over a year. I’m skeptical that the crude low has been set but in the bigger picture we should be in the endgame now. Any new low into the end of this year is good enough. Could this be a broad basing pattern? Perhaps, will consider […]

Natural gas via (UNG) 2017-05-19

When I last posted on UNG, we were looking for lower into the daily cycle low and a weekly inflection. Prices have consolidated since then but have failed to pullback much. This behavior can be setting up a strong move higher over the next month or so if the weekly cycle manifests as a inversion.

Crude Oil 2017-04-17

Crude will be rolling into June tomorrow thus advance my chart to the June contract. The dominant daily cycle should be peaking over the next few days which along with the contract roll may be putting in an ‘a’ wave high.

Natural Gas via UNG 2017-04-07

When I last visited UNG, I was looking for a low and a turn up with the daily cycle. This has played out and should now look for a retrace lower over the course of several weeks.

Crude Oil 2017-03-26

Crude has spent this month falling away from geometric resist and may leak lower yet over the next week or two but is running out of time for this segment of the down leg.