The Day Ahead: AM Edition 2020-02-21
Bonds appear to be working on wave III of (V) of [C] of b. Resist at 165^14 and 166^00.
First Look: 2020-02-21
Treating the drop yesterday in SPX as an 'A' wave and the pop up the first wave in a 'B', thus the gap down is 'b of B' and think the push up to try to recover the gap from yesterday is 'c of B'. Fair to try for at least 3367 though I think the chances are good for 3374 or even 3380 late in the day.
The Week Ahead: 2020-02-23
I'm adjusting my bond count up from the 2018 low from 'a-b' up in 'c of (a)' for a three wave move for (a) to one of an impulse, a five wave move. Note the areas I marked as 1) and 2) for the implications. I just can't go with the retrace from the August high as a wave (b) because it was so shallow which then implies it was a fourth and moving up in the late stages of 'v of (a) of ending diagonal [v]'. Minor target at 165^01 tested already, next at 167^23 though a retest of the prior is good enough. A drop back under previous resist at 162^28 would be first confirmation of falling back in the first swing of (b).
Japanese Yen Futures & ETF FXY Update
Yen appears to be accelerating lower after the minimal retrace made when I last updated this chart a few weeks ago. I'm assuming this is the early stages of (iii) of [v] or [c] down. Minor support being tested now at 0.008994 though I don't think it will be very firm. Prefer lower targets at 0.008789 or 0.008643 before a more substantial bounce.
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