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Bonds creeped a little closer to resistance at 145^07 today. Bears can begin to dip a toe in but really need under 143^28 to get going.
I'm moving wave [IV] a swing to the right on this bond chart which means this move up is [V]. Right now price is testing resistance at 144^30. Score this as an aggressive place to short though I can't rule out a test of higher targets before turning lower.
The strength of the move up in bonds last week argues that the alternate count from last week, where a 'b' wave low was being set, is in fact playing out. That means there should be more to the rally for the next couple weeks to test 146^18 or 147^25.
As I mentioned last week, it does bother me that shorting bonds is a popular trade but that is normal for a third wave. If bonds fail to drop under the May low in the next couple months, than the alternate count is in force and can result in a bounce into the end of the year.
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