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Bonds remain on track with a modest bounce into the FOMC meeting next week. Think it wise to allow at least 140^29 to be tested before considering a fade. Could prices front run the FOMC meeting by attempting lower before Wednesday afternoon? Yes, but not thinking it will move too far till then.
Not expecting bonds to make a new swing low. Instead think they stabilize and climb to test at least 140^31 before turning lower.
I'm going to do this post a little differently than I have been in the past. I have been requested to formulate my thoughts on the big picture and what may take place over several time periods, three, six, nine months and more into the future. I won't address that fully in this post, but later when I think more on it and prepare some charts but will mention ideas for where things could be in the three to six month window.
Bonds appear to be dropping from a completed wave (ii). We will have more confidence in that hypothesis once under 142^03.
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