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The minimum requirements for five waves up from the start of the month in bonds was met yesterday. Shorting is aggressive while above 143^27 as [V] could extend.
Bonds may have put in the 'c of (ii)' high today. You can count five small waves from the 'b' wave low up to the high today. It was just short from a retrace value at 145^07 but intraday targets have been hit. First confirmation will be prices falling under 143^28.
The strength of the move up in bonds last week argues that the alternate count from last week, where a 'b' wave low was being set, is in fact playing out. That means there should be more to the rally for the next couple weeks to test 146^18 or 147^25.
As I mentioned last week, it does bother me that shorting bonds is a popular trade but that is normal for a third wave. If bonds fail to drop under the May low in the next couple months, than the alternate count is in force and can result in a bounce into the end of the year.
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