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Crude oil fell, as ordered

The ETF dropped when it reached the right altitude

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More decline ahead for copper mining fund

Bears need to wait for it to reset first

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Dollar Index At Important Juncture

Does it need to test support again?

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Will stocks or bonds stumble first?

One of them is likely to recover its footing

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Some of our recent posts:

The Day Ahead: PM Edition 2018-12-13

Bonds reached the first support level of 142^15 today. What next? If wave (a) is to only be an a-b-c formation, it could be done and thus any bounce set a lower high before rolling lower in the first steps of 'a of (b)'. The other option is that (a) turns into a five wave sequence, which implies a modest new high to the December 10th high before a more serious retrace.

The Week Ahead 2018-12-17

The defining item this week will be the FOMC statement and press conference on Wednesday as traders look for clues of a halt to the rate hikes in 2019.

Bradley Siderograph – Late 2018 into 2019

The Bradley Siderograph is timing model for stock market turns that while no means perfect is worth keeping an eye on. Main interest is in the inflection points on the graph, not the direction or magnitude of change. An example of this is that the May 23rd 2018 swing in the Bradley was the biggest swing in the graph but was weak but the next tiny inflection at the end of June resulted in a major low in equity prices and big rally. Below you will see a chart with the Dow and Bradley model with dates of the next inflections out into fall of next year. Of note is then next two, December 20th and January 16th, of which I think December 20th is more important since it is a day after the next FOMC meeting.

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We believe an independent trader can succeed and profit in the markets, and we’re committed to helping our subscribers trade well on the time frame that best suits them. We founded Trading On The Mark in 2008 to help traders overcome some of the challenges of market analysis and trade execution. If trading futures and options based on technical analysis appeals to you, then you’re the kind of trader we want to work with.

TOTM’s technical approach is grounded in Elliott wave and Gann techniques, while also making use of Fibonacci relationships in price and time, historical cycles analysis, proprietary technical indicators, and other more esoteric methods.

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