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The Day Ahead 2016-08-26

The market will be focused on comments out of Jackson Hole today. Yellen is scheduled to speak at 10:00 am EDT.

The Day Ahead 2016-08-25

Difficult to imagine that the market is going to make a break, either up or down, prior to Yellen’s speech tomorrow.

The Day Ahead 2016-08-24

The summer trading pattern continues with the US equity markets choppy with an upward bias. I see know reason to think that it does not continue until at least Friday when Yellen gives a speech. Another event to look for is the next NFP which is on September 2nd.

The Day Ahead 2016-08-23

Equity future are trading up overnight which is in line with expectations of a modest rise in the equity markets. Crude slightly lower which is also on track with forecast. DX is stabilizing after falling lower much of this month.

Gold futures 2016-08-22

The next move should be lower but the larger picture is still open for interpretation. Either the pullback is a rest in a new bull market or part of a more complex formation that in the long run leads to a new low before a new bull market in metals begin.

The Day Ahead 2016-08-22

Very slow economic news day to start the week with. People should start returning from their summer holidays this week preparing kids for school. Traders will not be fully returned with their head in the game till after September 6th.

Corn futures putting in a major low?

As we turn our newsletter focus to grains this month, here we chart corn futures as one example of a contract that may be ready to bounce.

The Day Ahead 2016-08-19

Equity futures are down a modest amount overnight. That can run into the early morning trade today but expect support to be found an the market to hold up into next week.

Grains ETN at major support

As with most commodities, grain prices have been following a generally downward path since 2012. However, there are good technical reasons to watch for support – possibly even a major low or bottom in grain prices.

The Day Ahead 2016-08-18

Continue to look up in the S&P 500 (SPX) as they should challenge the round number, 2200, before being vulnerable to a retrace.