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The Day Ahead: AM Edition 2020-12-01
My suspicion that bonds may need to drop a bit more has proven to be correct with the sharp move lower this morning after breaking under minor support at 174^08.
First Look: 2020-12-01
S&P 500 future rose overnight which is consistent with the near term bullish forecast.
The Day Ahead: PM Edition 2020-11-30
Bonds are trapped between resist at 175^08 and the moving averages at 174^03.
The Week Ahead 2018-12-09
Possibly an exciting start to the week in equities this week as we find out if the major supports fail. Not looking good as I type as S&P 500 futures are down 20 points but I don't like to read too much into Asian session Globex. In addition to the US and China tensions we have the ECB on Thursday morning along with contract roll.
The Week Ahead 2018-12-02
I'm adding the daily charts to the usual weekly charts this week. Might turn into the new normal instead of a post of daily charts late Friday or Saturday. The main event for the start of the week is reaction to the favorable trade news from the G20. S&P futures are up 46 points as I type. More than I would have guessed but consistent with one of the options talked about in chat late Friday. Equity markets will be closed on Wednesday. NFP on Friday morning.
The Week Ahead 2018-11-26
Regardless whether the nearly two month consolidation in bonds is a wave [IV] or wave ii, I still think bonds should roll lower in December. Bond prices traded in a pretty narrow range last week against resist at 140^11. It is a near term negative for my bearish forecast that the weekly cycles point toward a late December inflection point.
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