Right now the bearish case looks best
I have included charts of this ETF, GDX, in the last couple of gold posts and thought I should make a separate post on it for completeness sake. The main hypothesis shown on the following monthly and weekly charts is pretty similar to that of gold except that I am assuming an ending diagonal here as opposed to a simple impulse lower essentially allowing for a couple retests of the of the early 2016 low before a climb out of the hole.
The wave count that I last had on the big picture in gold just didn't sit well with me and have put some thought into it over the weekend. The overall main and alternate ideas in general are the same, it is more of just a technical wave counting issue.
I have been putting off a bigger picture gold post as I have been reevaluating the big picture EW counts. Let me start with the two scenarios I had been using and move on from there.
The form would be improved with a consolidation and another push higher but anyone nursing a long gold position should be managing their position. I'm starting to get worried about gold now as this...
Note: Fixed typo on weekly alternate chart Gold has been performed well from the low late last year but should be due for a stall or retrace that should span three to five weeks. I am including...
February 2017 bulletin from Trading On The Mark