iShares 20+ Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) 2017-10-01

As you would expect, the analysis here is very similar to that done on bond futures earlier. This looks like a wave (ii) bounce though it is too early to rule out another test of overhead resistance.

Trading the next move in treasuries

The choppy rise from the turn of the year appears to have been corrective, in this case meaning that it should be treated as a retracement.

iShares 20+ Yr Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)

The short trade in TLT is certainly long in the tooth but looking for a new low, as in bonds, before a better bounce. The monthly chart is counted out the same as bonds, a large ending diagonal...

Review and forecast for treasury bonds and TLT

The big-picture pattern in treasury bonds has been working well for several years and has allowed us to predict some major inflections. There are however signs that treasuries and the iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:TLT) may be ready to move into an entirely new phase. Here we take a quick review of our performance with TLT in 2016 before considering where treasuries should go next.